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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.54+3.30vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.66+2.07vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.77+3.34vs Predicted
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4Florida State University2.38+0.72vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.98+0.65vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.89+2.52vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.11+0.90vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.74-1.69vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.51-1.93vs Predicted
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10Princeton University2.35-5.25vs Predicted
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11University of Kansas0.80-2.35vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-0.31-0.82vs Predicted
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13Rollins College-0.51-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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4.07University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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6.34Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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4.72Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.65Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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8.52Jacksonville University0.890.0%1st Place
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7.9Christopher Newport University1.110.0%1st Place
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6.31Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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7.07University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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4.75Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.65University of Kansas0.800.0%1st Place
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11.18Georgia Institute of Technology-0.310.0%1st Place
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11.55Rollins College-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 16.1% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 16.5% | 17.7% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Valerio Palamara | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 13.5% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Pappas | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 16.8% | 12.0% | 5.2% |
| Daniel Hodges | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 8.4% | 2.7% |
| Eden Nykamp | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 1.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 13.9% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Seamus Hendrickson | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 4.8% |
| Kyle Meyhoefer | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 10.6% | 27.0% | 38.6% |
| Connor Teague | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 11.1% | 24.9% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.