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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.51+5.99vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.74+4.41vs Predicted
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3University of Kansas0.80+5.90vs Predicted
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4Princeton University2.35+0.75vs Predicted
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5Florida State University2.38-0.32vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.98-0.36vs Predicted
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7Hampton University1.77-0.80vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.110.00vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.66-4.91vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.89-1.46vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University2.54-6.91vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.51-0.50vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology-0.31-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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6.41Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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8.9University of Kansas0.800.0%1st Place
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4.75Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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4.68Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.64Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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6.2Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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8.0Christopher Newport University1.110.0%1st Place
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4.09University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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8.54Jacksonville University0.890.0%1st Place
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4.09North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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11.5Rollins College-0.510.0%1st Place
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11.21Georgia Institute of Technology-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachariah Schemel | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Seamus Hendrickson | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 15.9% | 4.9% |
| Connor Mraz | 12.7% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 13.2% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Valerio Palamara | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Daniel Hodges | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 9.0% | 2.6% |
| Atlee Kohl | 16.9% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pappas | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 17.3% | 12.3% | 5.8% |
| Scott Harris | 15.9% | 18.0% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Teague | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 24.3% | 46.5% |
| Kyle Meyhoefer | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 12.0% | 27.0% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.