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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.54+3.31vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.51+4.99vs Predicted
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3Florida State University2.38+1.72vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.66+0.03vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.11+2.90vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.98-0.37vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.89+1.50vs Predicted
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8Hampton University1.77-1.76vs Predicted
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9Princeton University2.35-4.16vs Predicted
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10University of Kansas0.80-1.22vs Predicted
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11Rollins College-0.51+0.37vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-0.31-0.77vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.74-6.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.31North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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6.99University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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4.72Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.03University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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7.9Christopher Newport University1.110.0%1st Place
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5.63Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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8.5Jacksonville University0.890.0%1st Place
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6.24Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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4.84Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.78University of Kansas0.800.0%1st Place
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11.37Rollins College-0.510.0%1st Place
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11.23Georgia Institute of Technology-0.310.0%1st Place
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6.48Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 16.4% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 14.2% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 17.7% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Hodges | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 3.2% |
| Alex Bowdler | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Pappas | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 4.2% |
| Valerio Palamara | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Connor Mraz | 12.1% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Seamus Hendrickson | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 17.7% | 14.7% | 6.9% |
| Connor Teague | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 11.2% | 23.1% | 43.6% |
| Kyle Meyhoefer | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 26.4% | 39.5% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.