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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.66+2.87vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.54+2.17vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.89+5.48vs Predicted
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4Hampton University1.77+2.11vs Predicted
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5Florida State University2.38-0.51vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.74+0.15vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.11+0.73vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.16-0.33vs Predicted
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9University of Kansas0.80-0.30vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology-0.31+0.97vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.51-4.39vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.51-0.61vs Predicted
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13Princeton University2.35-8.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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4.17North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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8.48Jacksonville University0.890.0%1st Place
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6.11Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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4.49Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.15Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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7.73Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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7.67Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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8.7University of Kansas0.800.0%1st Place
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10.97Georgia Institute of Technology-0.310.0%1st Place
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6.61University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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11.39Rollins College-0.510.0%1st Place
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4.67Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 18.4% | 18.6% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 17.9% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pappas | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 4.1% |
| Valerio Palamara | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 13.9% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Hodges | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 2.7% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Seamus Hendrickson | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 17.9% | 13.4% | 6.1% |
| Kyle Meyhoefer | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 27.0% | 35.3% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Connor Teague | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 22.9% | 46.5% |
| Connor Mraz | 11.8% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.