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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.66+2.89vs Predicted
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2University of Kansas0.80+6.60vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University2.54+1.16vs Predicted
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4Florida State University2.38+0.53vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.51+1.65vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.16+1.65vs Predicted
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7Hampton University1.77-1.03vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.74-1.87vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.11-1.05vs Predicted
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10Princeton University2.35-5.39vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.89-2.75vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-0.31-0.86vs Predicted
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13Rollins College-0.51-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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8.6University of Kansas0.800.0%1st Place
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4.16North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.53Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.65University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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7.65Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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5.97Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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6.13Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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7.95Christopher Newport University1.110.0%1st Place
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4.61Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.25Jacksonville University0.890.0%1st Place
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11.14Georgia Institute of Technology-0.310.0%1st Place
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11.47Rollins College-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 18.0% | 17.5% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Seamus Hendrickson | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 16.1% | 16.7% | 12.3% | 5.0% |
| Scott Harris | 14.9% | 16.9% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 14.1% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 7.6% | 2.3% |
| Valerio Palamara | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Eden Nykamp | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Hodges | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 8.6% | 3.2% |
| Connor Mraz | 14.2% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pappas | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 4.4% |
| Kyle Meyhoefer | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 28.1% | 37.0% |
| Connor Teague | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 22.6% | 46.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.