← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University1.98+4.56vs Predicted
-
2Princeton University2.35+2.70vs Predicted
-
3Florida State University2.38+1.63vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College1.74+2.25vs Predicted
-
5University of Miami2.66-1.05vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University2.54-1.83vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida1.51-0.24vs Predicted
-
8Christopher Newport University1.11-0.15vs Predicted
-
9Rollins College-0.51+2.22vs Predicted
-
10Hampton University1.77-3.86vs Predicted
-
11University of Kansas0.80-2.51vs Predicted
-
12Jacksonville University0.14-1.79vs Predicted
-
13Georgia Institute of Technology-0.31-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.56Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
-
4.7Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
-
4.63Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
-
6.25Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
-
3.95University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
-
4.17North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
-
6.76University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
-
7.85Christopher Newport University1.110.0%1st Place
-
11.22Rollins College-0.510.0%1st Place
-
6.14Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
-
8.49University of Kansas0.800.0%1st Place
-
10.21Jacksonville University0.140.0%1st Place
-
11.08Georgia Institute of Technology-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bowdler | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Connor Mraz | 13.4% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 12.5% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 19.0% | 17.4% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 15.9% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Hodges | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 7.5% | 1.6% |
| Connor Teague | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 12.5% | 24.2% | 40.7% |
| Valerio Palamara | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Seamus Hendrickson | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 9.2% | 5.4% |
| Josh Becker | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 20.1% | 22.5% | 18.6% |
| Kyle Meyhoefer | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 27.6% | 32.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.