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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.98+4.62vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.66+1.96vs Predicted
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3Princeton University2.35+1.76vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University2.54+0.27vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.51+1.73vs Predicted
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6Hampton University1.77+0.09vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.11+0.74vs Predicted
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8Florida State University2.38-3.42vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-0.31+1.92vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.14+0.05vs Predicted
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11University of Kansas0.80-2.49vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.74-5.62vs Predicted
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13Rollins College-0.51-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.62Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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3.96University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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4.76Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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4.27North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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6.73University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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6.09Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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7.74Christopher Newport University1.110.0%1st Place
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4.58Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.92Georgia Institute of Technology-0.310.0%1st Place
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10.05Jacksonville University0.140.0%1st Place
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8.51University of Kansas0.800.0%1st Place
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6.38Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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11.38Rollins College-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bowdler | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 17.1% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 11.9% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Scott Harris | 16.1% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Valerio Palamara | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Hodges | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 2.2% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 13.9% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Meyhoefer | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 13.4% | 27.1% | 32.5% |
| Josh Becker | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 20.7% | 21.5% | 16.9% |
| Seamus Hendrickson | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 10.8% | 4.7% |
| Eden Nykamp | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Connor Teague | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 13.4% | 24.6% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.