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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.38+7.23vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+5.60vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.78+5.30vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.56vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.86+5.15vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.22+1.48vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.42-1.63vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.38-0.51vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.09-0.24vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.09+2.07vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.29-3.54vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.02-3.68vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.87-0.70vs Predicted
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14Olin College of Engineering0.22+1.14vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.45-7.98vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.07-3.55vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.42-3.03vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.14-6.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.23Bowdoin College2.386.3%1st Place
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7.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.328.6%1st Place
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8.3University of Rhode Island2.786.7%1st Place
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7.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.0%1st Place
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10.15Brown University1.863.6%1st Place
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7.48Tufts University2.227.8%1st Place
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5.37Yale University2.4213.2%1st Place
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7.49Dartmouth College2.387.1%1st Place
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8.76Roger Williams University2.095.5%1st Place
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12.07Connecticut College1.092.3%1st Place
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7.46Yale University2.296.8%1st Place
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8.32Boston College2.026.0%1st Place
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12.3University of Vermont0.872.2%1st Place
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15.14Olin College of Engineering0.220.6%1st Place
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7.02Harvard University2.458.7%1st Place
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12.45Northeastern University1.072.4%1st Place
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13.97Fairfield University0.421.1%1st Place
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11.35Boston University1.143.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hall | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 13.2% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| William Michels | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Duncan Craine | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 8.3% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jack Redmond | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 9.6% |
| James Jagielski | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 16.4% | 39.7% |
| Robby Meek | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 9.6% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 17.8% | 21.8% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.