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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University2.13+1.72vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.48+0.32vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.95-1.00vs Predicted
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5Colgate University0.82-0.22vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University0.43-0.56vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-0.15-0.77vs Predicted
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8Hamilton College-0.24-1.59vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology0.56-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72Columbia University2.130.3%1st Place
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2.32Cornell University2.480.3%1st Place
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3.0Queen's University1.950.2%1st Place
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4.78Colgate University0.820.1%1st Place
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5.44Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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6.23U. S. Military Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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6.41Hamilton College-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.1Rochester Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Coplon | 25.4% | 25.2% | 21.9% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 34.1% | 27.9% | 19.1% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Paul Throop | 20.8% | 20.1% | 25.0% | 16.3% | 10.6% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Libby | 6.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 16.8% | 18.7% | 17.7% | 14.6% | 6.5% |
| Harmen Rockler | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 12.7% | 16.3% | 19.9% | 21.9% | 12.8% |
| Phillip Weigand | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 17.1% | 22.0% | 32.5% |
| Nathan Burbank | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 14.7% | 22.7% | 38.3% |
| Nathan Fulcher | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 15.1% | 20.1% | 19.6% | 16.4% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.