Race 6B

eckerd

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Asher Green 6.9% 6.0% 6.6% 8.9% 9.8% 9.0% 9.9% 9.6% 12.7% 6.4% 8.8% 5.1% 0.3%
Joey Meagher 15.8% 14.9% 15.3% 13.9% 9.8% 10.3% 7.6% 4.3% 4.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Luke Hayes 3.4% 5.1% 5.1% 7.9% 8.2% 7.4% 9.0% 9.5% 9.7% 12.7% 12.5% 8.7% 0.8%
Peter Cronin 11.9% 13.1% 13.3% 10.6% 11.0% 9.9% 8.8% 8.3% 7.1% 3.7% 1.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Stefano Palamara 5.4% 5.4% 5.2% 7.6% 8.5% 7.3% 8.4% 9.2% 9.8% 12.3% 11.5% 8.6% 0.8%
Aidan Dennis 21.3% 21.4% 16.3% 10.6% 9.0% 7.6% 6.5% 3.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Hilton Kamps 4.0% 3.8% 4.4% 5.7% 4.5% 5.1% 6.0% 8.8% 9.0% 12.8% 17.1% 17.0% 1.8%
Aden Anderson 4.3% 5.2% 5.4% 4.5% 6.5% 7.7% 10.1% 9.6% 11.0% 11.5% 11.5% 12.1% 0.6%
Harrison Bailey 7.5% 6.4% 7.8% 8.9% 9.1% 10.2% 8.8% 11.6% 8.7% 8.8% 7.5% 4.2% 0.5%
Griffin Richardson 8.1% 6.6% 8.0% 7.9% 9.3% 8.7% 10.7% 9.2% 9.6% 8.6% 8.1% 4.8% 0.4%
Humberto Porrata 9.3% 9.6% 9.4% 10.6% 10.8% 11.3% 9.0% 9.3% 8.0% 6.7% 3.9% 2.0% 0.1%
Cole Woerner 1.9% 2.3% 3.1% 2.7% 3.5% 5.1% 5.0% 6.3% 7.8% 12.1% 14.5% 32.6% 3.1%
Robert Mikes 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 1.2% 1.5% 3.6% 91.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.