← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Miami2.27+2.62vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University1.73+2.86vs Predicted
-
3Christopher Newport University0.78+4.46vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College1.12+2.50vs Predicted
-
5Florida State University1.97-0.72vs Predicted
-
6Georgia Institute of Technology0.05+3.27vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida1.37-1.26vs Predicted
-
8Hampton University0.81-0.76vs Predicted
-
9Jacksonville University0.71-1.53vs Predicted
-
10Rollins College0.37-1.57vs Predicted
-
11Princeton University1.08-4.30vs Predicted
-
12North Carolina State University1.17-5.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.62University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
-
4.86Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
-
7.46Christopher Newport University0.780.1%1st Place
-
6.5Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
-
4.28Florida State University1.970.2%1st Place
-
9.27Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
-
5.74University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
-
7.24Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
-
7.47Jacksonville University0.710.0%1st Place
-
8.43Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
-
6.7Princeton University1.080.1%1st Place
-
6.42North Carolina State University1.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Dennis | 20.7% | 19.4% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Peter Cronin | 12.0% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Luke Hayes | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 9.4% |
| Griffin Richardson | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 16.6% | 16.3% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% |
| Cole Woerner | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 16.2% | 33.9% |
| Humberto Porrata | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Stefano Palamara | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.6% |
| Aden Anderson | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 8.9% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 18.8% | 19.4% |
| Asher Green | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 5.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.