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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.27+2.59vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.97+2.29vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.78+4.47vs Predicted
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4Princeton University1.08+2.63vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.17+1.34vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.12+0.52vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.37+1.36vs Predicted
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8Hampton University0.81-0.77vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.71-1.50vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.37-4.22vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.73-6.03vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology0.05-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
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4.29Florida State University1.970.2%1st Place
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7.47Christopher Newport University0.780.1%1st Place
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6.63Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
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6.34North Carolina State University1.170.1%1st Place
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6.52Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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8.36Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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7.23Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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7.5Jacksonville University0.710.0%1st Place
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5.78University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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4.97Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
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9.32Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Dennis | 21.4% | 17.3% | 17.7% | 14.5% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Joey Meagher | 15.7% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Luke Hayes | 6.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 9.3% |
| Asher Green | 4.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 4.8% |
| Harrison Bailey | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.8% |
| Griffin Richardson | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Hilton Kamps | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 19.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.9% |
| Aden Anderson | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.8% |
| Humberto Porrata | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Peter Cronin | 11.3% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Cole Woerner | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.