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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Peter Cronin 12.6% 11.2% 12.4% 10.8% 12.3% 11.7% 9.0% 6.8% 5.5% 3.7% 3.2% 0.8%
Humberto Porrata 7.6% 9.2% 11.2% 9.5% 10.4% 9.6% 11.0% 8.7% 9.0% 6.7% 4.9% 2.2%
Griffin Richardson 6.6% 7.2% 7.6% 10.4% 7.6% 8.0% 10.4% 10.2% 12.5% 9.9% 5.9% 3.7%
Aden Anderson 4.0% 4.2% 5.3% 6.8% 7.1% 8.3% 8.1% 10.0% 11.0% 11.4% 11.3% 12.5%
Harrison Bailey 6.2% 8.6% 7.9% 9.2% 9.1% 9.8% 9.5% 11.1% 9.5% 8.0% 6.5% 4.6%
Luke Hayes 4.8% 5.3% 5.8% 7.0% 6.7% 7.2% 8.9% 9.1% 10.2% 12.5% 13.9% 8.6%
Aidan Dennis 23.6% 18.3% 15.2% 13.0% 8.8% 8.6% 5.0% 3.7% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Stefano Palamara 5.7% 6.1% 5.3% 6.9% 8.1% 7.5% 8.0% 11.2% 9.2% 12.3% 10.7% 9.0%
Joey Meagher 16.7% 15.9% 16.6% 11.1% 10.5% 10.4% 7.3% 6.0% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Asher Green 6.7% 7.8% 7.5% 8.2% 10.3% 8.0% 10.5% 9.6% 9.9% 9.6% 7.3% 4.6%
Cole Woerner 2.1% 2.3% 2.5% 3.3% 4.1% 4.7% 4.4% 6.4% 7.8% 11.8% 17.3% 33.3%
Hilton Kamps 3.4% 3.9% 2.7% 3.8% 5.0% 6.2% 7.9% 7.2% 10.6% 11.1% 17.7% 20.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.