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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.73+3.96vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.37+3.82vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.12+3.47vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.71+3.65vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.17+1.36vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.78+1.46vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.27-3.45vs Predicted
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8Hampton University0.81-0.76vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.97-4.90vs Predicted
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10Princeton University1.08-3.52vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology0.05-1.64vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.37-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
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5.82University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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6.47Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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7.65Jacksonville University0.710.0%1st Place
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6.36North Carolina State University1.170.1%1st Place
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7.46Christopher Newport University0.780.0%1st Place
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3.55University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
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7.24Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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4.1Florida State University1.970.2%1st Place
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6.48Princeton University1.080.1%1st Place
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9.36Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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8.57Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Cronin | 12.6% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Humberto Porrata | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Griffin Richardson | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Aden Anderson | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 12.5% |
| Harrison Bailey | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% |
| Luke Hayes | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 8.6% |
| Aidan Dennis | 23.6% | 18.3% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 9.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 16.7% | 15.9% | 16.6% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Asher Green | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 4.6% |
| Cole Woerner | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 17.3% | 33.3% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 17.7% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.