Race 11B

eckerd

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Aden Anderson 3.9% 5.4% 4.8% 6.4% 6.4% 6.9% 7.0% 10.1% 11.5% 12.5% 14.6% 10.5%
Peter Cronin 11.5% 14.5% 11.9% 10.6% 11.0% 10.3% 9.7% 8.3% 5.6% 4.0% 2.2% 0.4%
Aidan Dennis 22.1% 19.4% 15.0% 11.4% 11.5% 8.5% 5.8% 3.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.2%
Humberto Porrata 7.8% 8.5% 10.7% 11.0% 9.8% 9.0% 11.3% 9.4% 7.8% 7.0% 5.1% 2.6%
Luke Hayes 4.3% 6.0% 5.8% 6.8% 7.3% 7.3% 8.8% 10.0% 9.3% 11.2% 12.6% 10.6%
Joey Meagher 17.7% 13.3% 14.1% 13.7% 11.7% 11.1% 5.9% 4.5% 4.5% 2.7% 0.6% 0.2%
Asher Green 7.5% 6.4% 8.8% 9.0% 8.8% 9.2% 9.1% 8.3% 11.7% 9.1% 7.5% 4.6%
Hilton Kamps 4.6% 3.9% 4.4% 4.1% 5.2% 6.1% 6.7% 7.5% 8.7% 11.1% 18.8% 18.9%
Griffin Richardson 6.9% 6.2% 9.6% 8.9% 8.3% 9.6% 12.5% 9.0% 10.1% 8.9% 5.7% 4.3%
Harrison Bailey 7.4% 8.3% 7.5% 8.1% 9.3% 11.3% 9.3% 11.2% 9.2% 9.0% 5.6% 3.8%
Stefano Palamara 4.2% 4.5% 5.3% 7.5% 7.3% 7.7% 8.1% 10.5% 11.4% 11.8% 12.2% 9.5%
Cole Woerner 2.1% 3.6% 2.1% 2.5% 3.4% 3.0% 5.8% 7.5% 8.8% 11.9% 14.9% 34.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.