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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.73+3.94vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.71+5.61vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.97+1.21vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.27-0.47vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.12+1.51vs Predicted
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6Princeton University1.08+0.61vs Predicted
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7Hampton University0.81+0.22vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.37-2.24vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.37-0.58vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.17-3.73vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.78-3.40vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology0.05-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.94Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
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7.61Jacksonville University0.710.0%1st Place
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4.21Florida State University1.970.2%1st Place
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3.53University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
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6.51Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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6.61Princeton University1.080.1%1st Place
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7.22Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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5.76University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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8.42Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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6.27North Carolina State University1.170.1%1st Place
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7.6Christopher Newport University0.780.0%1st Place
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9.32Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Cronin | 12.1% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Aden Anderson | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 11.2% |
| Joey Meagher | 16.7% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 21.4% | 20.4% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Griffin Richardson | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% |
| Asher Green | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 4.9% |
| Stefano Palamara | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 8.8% |
| Humberto Porrata | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 17.3% |
| Harrison Bailey | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% |
| Luke Hayes | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 11.2% |
| Cole Woerner | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 17.3% | 32.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.