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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.86+9.14vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.22+5.50vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.02+5.18vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.38+3.50vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.29+2.58vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+1.74vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.78+1.42vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.09+0.30vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.45-2.07vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.38-1.44vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.14+0.38vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.42-6.54vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.07-0.62vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-6.56vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.00-2.11vs Predicted
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16Olin College of Engineering0.22-1.18vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.42-3.23vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.87-6.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.14Brown University1.863.9%1st Place
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7.5Tufts University2.228.0%1st Place
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8.18Boston College2.026.9%1st Place
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7.5Dartmouth College2.388.1%1st Place
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7.58Yale University2.297.1%1st Place
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7.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.326.0%1st Place
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8.42University of Rhode Island2.785.8%1st Place
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8.3Roger Williams University2.096.2%1st Place
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6.93Harvard University2.457.8%1st Place
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8.56Bowdoin College2.386.5%1st Place
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11.38Boston University1.142.8%1st Place
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5.46Yale University2.4213.0%1st Place
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12.38Northeastern University1.073.0%1st Place
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7.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.6%1st Place
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12.89Connecticut College1.001.8%1st Place
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14.82Olin College of Engineering0.221.4%1st Place
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13.77Fairfield University0.421.7%1st Place
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12.0University of Vermont0.872.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Borcherding | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Ben Mueller | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jack Redmond | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| William Michels | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Robby Meek | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 5.7% |
| Carmen Cowles | 13.0% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 11.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| William Hurd | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 12.2% |
| James Jagielski | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 16.7% | 36.6% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 18.4% | 19.6% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.