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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.48+1.26vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.95+1.02vs Predicted
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4Columbia University2.13-1.24vs Predicted
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5Colgate University0.82-0.22vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University0.43-0.56vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology0.56-1.87vs Predicted
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8Hamilton College-0.24-1.59vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-0.15-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26Cornell University2.480.4%1st Place
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3.02Queen's University1.950.2%1st Place
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2.76Columbia University2.130.2%1st Place
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4.78Colgate University0.820.1%1st Place
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5.44Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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5.13Rochester Institute of Technology0.560.1%1st Place
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6.41Hamilton College-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.21U. S. Military Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 36.7% | 27.4% | 18.3% | 10.8% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Paul Throop | 19.7% | 21.2% | 23.6% | 18.0% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| David Coplon | 23.7% | 25.0% | 23.5% | 13.9% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Libby | 5.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 15.9% | 20.3% | 17.1% | 15.1% | 6.1% |
| Harmen Rockler | 4.4% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 17.0% | 21.0% | 19.8% | 13.8% |
| Nathan Fulcher | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 16.8% | 17.2% | 18.8% | 16.4% | 11.1% |
| Nathan Burbank | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 23.0% | 38.4% |
| Phillip Weigand | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 20.1% | 22.5% | 30.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.