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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University1.08+5.39vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.12+4.31vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.73+1.60vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.37+1.53vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.17+1.03vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology0.05+3.22vs Predicted
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7Florida State University1.97-3.00vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.99-1.40vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.71-1.39vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.78-2.79vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.37-2.74vs Predicted
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12Hampton University0.81-4.62vs Predicted
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13University of Kansas-1.25-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.39Princeton University1.080.1%1st Place
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6.31Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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4.6Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
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5.53University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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6.03North Carolina State University1.170.1%1st Place
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9.22Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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4.0Florida State University1.970.2%1st Place
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6.6University of Miami0.990.1%1st Place
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7.61Jacksonville University0.710.1%1st Place
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7.21Christopher Newport University0.780.1%1st Place
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8.26Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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7.38Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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11.88University of Kansas-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asher Green | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Griffin Richardson | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Peter Cronin | 13.8% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Humberto Porrata | 11.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Harrison Bailey | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Cole Woerner | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 22.7% | 12.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 19.1% | 17.8% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Aden Anderson | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 3.7% |
| Luke Hayes | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 3.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 6.4% |
| Stefano Palamara | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 2.4% |
| Sydney VanMeerhaeghe | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 12.1% | 67.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.