← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Eckerd College1.12+5.31vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida1.37+3.63vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami0.99+3.70vs Predicted
-
4Christopher Newport University0.78+3.31vs Predicted
-
5Hampton University0.81+2.15vs Predicted
-
6Princeton University1.08+0.29vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University0.71+0.43vs Predicted
-
8Rollins College0.37+0.38vs Predicted
-
9North Carolina State University1.17-2.82vs Predicted
-
10Georgia Institute of Technology0.05-0.79vs Predicted
-
11University of Kansas-1.25+0.76vs Predicted
-
12Florida State University1.97-7.97vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University1.73-8.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.31Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
-
5.63University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
-
6.7University of Miami0.990.1%1st Place
-
7.31Christopher Newport University0.780.0%1st Place
-
7.15Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
-
6.29Princeton University1.080.1%1st Place
-
7.43Jacksonville University0.710.1%1st Place
-
8.38Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
-
6.18North Carolina State University1.170.1%1st Place
-
9.21Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
-
11.76University of Kansas-1.250.0%1st Place
-
4.03Florida State University1.970.2%1st Place
-
4.62Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Richardson | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Humberto Porrata | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| Luke Hayes | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 3.8% |
| Stefano Palamara | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 2.6% |
| Asher Green | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Aden Anderson | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 3.4% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 6.6% |
| Harrison Bailey | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
| Cole Woerner | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 20.8% | 13.9% |
| Sydney VanMeerhaeghe | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 13.1% | 63.3% |
| Joey Meagher | 18.0% | 17.3% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Cronin | 14.1% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.