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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
30
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.97+1.46vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+5.20vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University1.54+2.91vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00+8.52vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University-1.11+13.01vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.42+0.11vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14+11.43vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.71+0.84vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University0.17+2.27vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.50-0.08vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.55+4.21vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.25-0.81vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-3.42vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-0.28-0.57vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles1.30-8.52vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles0.11-4.55vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30+2.18vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-2.79+6.80vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-0.72-2.76vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-0.66-4.27vs Predicted
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21University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91-3.99vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.07-4.48vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74-1.83vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles-1.62-3.25vs Predicted
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25California State University Channel Islands-2.97+0.70vs Predicted
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26University of California at San Diego-0.97-8.30vs Predicted
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27University of California at San Diego-2.02-4.46vs Predicted
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28Santa Clara University-1.11-9.99vs Predicted
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29University of California at Davis-2.48-5.12vs Predicted
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30California State University Channel Islands-2.64-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46University of Southern California2.970.4%1st Place
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7.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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5.91San Diego State University1.540.1%1st Place
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12.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.0%1st Place
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18.01Santa Clara University-1.110.0%1st Place
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6.11University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.1%1st Place
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18.43University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.0%1st Place
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8.84University of California at Berkeley0.710.0%1st Place
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11.27San Diego State University0.170.0%1st Place
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9.92University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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15.21University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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11.19University of California at Berkeley0.250.0%1st Place
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9.58University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
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13.43University of California at Los Angeles-0.280.0%1st Place
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6.48University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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11.45University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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19.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
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24.8University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
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16.24University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
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15.73University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
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17.01University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
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17.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.070.0%1st Place
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21.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
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20.75University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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25.7California State University Channel Islands-2.970.0%1st Place
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17.7University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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22.54University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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18.01Santa Clara University-1.110.0%1st Place
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23.88University of California at Davis-2.480.0%1st Place
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24.75California State University Channel Islands-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 38.4% | 22.6% | 17.1% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 6.8% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Vodzak | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael McCulloch | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Spector | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 7.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kelly | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Lewald | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 16.7% | 22.8% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| samson grunwald | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Schmitz | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 16.9% | 32.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Vodzak | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Michael Boyd | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 21.0% | 20.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.