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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.42+5.48vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University1.54+4.03vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+4.98vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.97-1.51vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.73vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.71+3.08vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.25+4.33vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University0.17+3.91vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.28+5.03vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.50+0.37vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14+7.29vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.11-0.01vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-3.01vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91+2.99vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-2.59vs Predicted
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16Santa Clara University-1.25+2.70vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.62+3.32vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley-0.55-2.70vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30+0.02vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-0.72-3.61vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-10.98vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-0.97-5.11vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-2.02-1.43vs Predicted
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24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74-3.08vs Predicted
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25Santa Clara University-1.25-6.30vs Predicted
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26University of California at Davis-2.48-2.78vs Predicted
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27University of California at Irvine-0.66-11.55vs Predicted
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28University of California at Davis-2.79-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.48University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.1%1st Place
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6.03San Diego State University1.540.1%1st Place
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7.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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2.49University of Southern California2.970.4%1st Place
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6.73University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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9.08University of California at Berkeley0.710.0%1st Place
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11.33University of California at Berkeley0.250.0%1st Place
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11.91San Diego State University0.170.0%1st Place
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14.03University of California at Los Angeles-0.280.0%1st Place
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10.37University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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18.29University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.0%1st Place
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11.99University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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9.99University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
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16.99University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
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12.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.0%1st Place
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18.7Santa Clara University-1.250.0%1st Place
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20.32University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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15.3University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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19.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
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16.39University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.0%1st Place
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16.89University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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21.57University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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20.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
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18.7Santa Clara University-1.250.0%1st Place
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23.22University of California at Davis-2.480.0%1st Place
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15.45University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
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24.11University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted McDonough | 7.9% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 8.1% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 36.5% | 25.0% | 16.2% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael McCulloch | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Spector | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marcus Leitner | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Dorsey | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| samson grunwald | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kelly | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Dorsey | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 18.7% | 26.3% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Lewald | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 17.8% | 38.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.