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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.97+1.53vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.42+4.48vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University1.54+3.15vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.72vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+2.67vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University0.17+5.65vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.28+7.05vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-0.72+8.45vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.25+2.44vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+0.27vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.11+1.05vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30+6.89vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.50-2.76vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.71-5.01vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14+3.07vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-3.55vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.62+3.32vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley-0.55-2.66vs Predicted
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19Santa Clara University-1.25-0.16vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74+0.99vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-2.79+3.10vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-2.02-0.56vs Predicted
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23Santa Clara University-1.25-4.16vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego-0.97-7.02vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-2.48-1.57vs Predicted
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26Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-15.92vs Predicted
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27University of California at Irvine-0.66-11.50vs Predicted
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28University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91-11.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53University of Southern California2.970.4%1st Place
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6.48University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.1%1st Place
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6.15San Diego State University1.540.1%1st Place
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6.72University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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7.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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11.65San Diego State University0.170.0%1st Place
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14.05University of California at Los Angeles-0.280.0%1st Place
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16.45University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
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11.44University of California at Berkeley0.250.0%1st Place
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10.27University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
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12.05University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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18.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
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10.24University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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8.99University of California at Berkeley0.710.0%1st Place
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18.07University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.0%1st Place
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12.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.0%1st Place
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20.32University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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15.34University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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18.84Santa Clara University-1.250.0%1st Place
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20.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
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24.1University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
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21.44University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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18.84Santa Clara University-1.250.0%1st Place
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16.98University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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23.43University of California at Davis-2.480.0%1st Place
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10.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.0%1st Place
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15.5University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
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16.88University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 35.5% | 24.9% | 16.1% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 6.9% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Spector | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Michael McCulloch | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kelly | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| samson grunwald | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Dorsey | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Lewald | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 20.5% | 37.8% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Dorsey | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 19.5% | 27.9% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.