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📊 Prediction Accuracy
32.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles0.09+7.40vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University-1.33+13.89vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University-0.29+7.31vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.27-0.08vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-0.43+5.57vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.19-1.97vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-0.37vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-0.39+2.65vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.64+2.78vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.61+1.89vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-1.08+3.14vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99+1.70vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-2.31+7.75vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-1.14+0.33vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-0.93-1.68vs Predicted
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16Santa Clara University-1.97+3.04vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-2.04+2.41vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.07-3.99vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.76-0.91vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-2.24+0.58vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.36-5.39vs Predicted
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22University of California at Berkeley-0.90-9.36vs Predicted
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23Santa Clara University-1.97-3.96vs Predicted
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24University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98-10.81vs Predicted
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25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.04-5.40vs Predicted
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26University of California at Santa Cruz-1.34-10.50vs Predicted
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27University of California at San Diego-2.32-6.61vs Predicted
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28Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.13-8.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.4University of California at Los Angeles0.090.1%1st Place
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15.89San Diego State University-1.330.0%1st Place
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10.31San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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3.92University of Southern California1.270.2%1st Place
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10.57University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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4.03University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.2%1st Place
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6.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.1%1st Place
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10.65University of California at Irvine-0.390.0%1st Place
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11.78University of California at Berkeley-0.640.0%1st Place
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11.89University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.0%1st Place
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14.14University of California at Los Angeles-1.080.0%1st Place
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13.7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.0%1st Place
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20.75University of California at San Diego-2.310.0%1st Place
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14.33University of California at Berkeley-1.140.0%1st Place
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13.32University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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19.04Santa Clara University-1.970.0%1st Place
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19.41University of California at Los Angeles-2.040.0%1st Place
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14.01University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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18.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.760.0%1st Place
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20.58University of California at Davis-2.240.0%1st Place
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15.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.360.0%1st Place
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12.64University of California at Berkeley-0.900.0%1st Place
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19.04Santa Clara University-1.970.0%1st Place
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13.19University of California at Santa Cruz-0.980.0%1st Place
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19.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.040.0%1st Place
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15.5University of California at Santa Cruz-1.340.0%1st Place
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20.39University of California at San Diego-2.320.0%1st Place
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19.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Marshall | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesco Nicoli | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diya Correa | 21.9% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 19.3% | 16.6% | 16.4% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Case | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amir Tadros | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Lisle | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| tess McMullin | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Martin | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bella Valente | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 17.3% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Chen | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kekoa Blair | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Milan | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Karl McCombie | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Pavlovich | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 0.0% |
| Travis Bouck | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Aivan Durfee | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kekoa Blair | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Elliott | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| David Carrion | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Savannah Hallgarth | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| Walden Hillegass | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.