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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.9
Avg Position Diff
30
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.19+2.95vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis-0.93+11.09vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University-0.29+7.14vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine-0.39+6.72vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-1.33+11.03vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.09+1.91vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.61+5.08vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98+5.76vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.17+0.17vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-1.14+4.86vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-4.40vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.04+8.41vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.90+0.20vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.36+1.93vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-2.42+7.18vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.07-1.93vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-2.32+4.98vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-1.43-1.69vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands-2.17+2.15vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-2.24+1.35vs Predicted
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21Santa Clara University-1.97-1.16vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-2.31-0.67vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-2.04-2.60vs Predicted
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24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.13-3.00vs Predicted
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25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.76-6.26vs Predicted
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26Santa Clara University-1.97-6.16vs Predicted
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27University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99-12.70vs Predicted
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28University of California at Davis-0.43-17.12vs Predicted
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29University of California at Los Angeles-1.08-14.70vs Predicted
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30University of Southern California-0.10-20.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.95University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.2%1st Place
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13.09University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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10.14San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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10.72University of California at Irvine-0.390.0%1st Place
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16.03San Diego State University-1.330.0%1st Place
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7.91University of California at Los Angeles0.090.1%1st Place
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12.08University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.0%1st Place
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13.76University of California at Santa Cruz-0.980.0%1st Place
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9.17University of California at Berkeley-0.170.1%1st Place
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14.86University of California at Berkeley-1.140.0%1st Place
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6.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.1%1st Place
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20.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.040.0%1st Place
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13.2University of California at Berkeley-0.900.0%1st Place
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15.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.360.0%1st Place
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22.18University of California at Santa Cruz-2.420.0%1st Place
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14.07University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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21.98University of California at San Diego-2.320.0%1st Place
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16.31California State University Channel Islands-1.430.0%1st Place
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21.15California State University Channel Islands-2.170.0%1st Place
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21.35University of California at Davis-2.240.0%1st Place
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19.84Santa Clara University-1.970.0%1st Place
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21.33University of California at San Diego-2.310.0%1st Place
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20.4University of California at Los Angeles-2.040.0%1st Place
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21.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.130.0%1st Place
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18.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.760.0%1st Place
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19.84Santa Clara University-1.970.0%1st Place
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14.3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.0%1st Place
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10.88University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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14.3University of California at Los Angeles-1.080.0%1st Place
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9.31University of Southern California-0.100.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Reid | 21.8% | 17.2% | 16.5% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amir Tadros | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesco Nicoli | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Elliott | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Beck Boyea | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Chen | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Max Case | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Carrion | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Aivan Durfee | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Travis Bouck | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lola Rao | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Rob Reigelman | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Pavlovich | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Kekoa Blair | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Bella Valente | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Milan | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Walden Hillegass | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Karl McCombie | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Kekoa Blair | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Martin | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| tess McMullin | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.