← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.48+1.27vs Predicted
-
2Columbia University2.13+0.75vs Predicted
-
4Queen's University1.95-1.00vs Predicted
-
5Colgate University0.82-0.24vs Predicted
-
6Syracuse University0.43-0.57vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Military Academy-0.15-0.77vs Predicted
-
8Rochester Institute of Technology0.56-2.75vs Predicted
-
9Hamilton College-0.24-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.27Cornell University2.480.4%1st Place
-
2.75Columbia University2.130.2%1st Place
-
3.0Queen's University1.950.2%1st Place
-
4.76Colgate University0.820.1%1st Place
-
5.43Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
-
6.23U. S. Military Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
-
5.25Rochester Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
-
6.31Hamilton College-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 36.6% | 26.2% | 20.3% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| David Coplon | 24.1% | 25.9% | 20.4% | 15.4% | 9.9% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Paul Throop | 20.3% | 21.4% | 23.3% | 17.5% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Libby | 5.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 17.6% | 18.5% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 6.8% |
| Harmen Rockler | 4.6% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 17.8% | 19.8% | 20.5% | 13.4% |
| Phillip Weigand | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 16.4% | 20.3% | 33.9% |
| Nathan Fulcher | 4.2% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 20.0% | 18.0% | 12.5% |
| Nathan Burbank | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 16.3% | 24.3% | 33.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.