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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.86+9.14vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.45+4.93vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.22+4.46vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.07+8.47vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+2.52vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.14+5.37vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.78+1.36vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.29-0.64vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.42-3.82vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.09-1.59vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.02-2.65vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.38-3.63vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-5.25vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.00-1.30vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.38-7.56vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.42-2.24vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering0.22-1.80vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.87-5.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.14Brown University1.863.7%1st Place
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6.93Harvard University2.457.5%1st Place
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7.46Tufts University2.227.6%1st Place
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12.47Northeastern University1.071.9%1st Place
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7.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.1%1st Place
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11.37Boston University1.142.8%1st Place
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8.36University of Rhode Island2.786.3%1st Place
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7.36Yale University2.297.4%1st Place
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5.18Yale University2.4214.4%1st Place
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8.41Roger Williams University2.096.0%1st Place
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8.35Boston College2.025.9%1st Place
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8.37Bowdoin College2.386.0%1st Place
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7.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.326.8%1st Place
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12.7Connecticut College1.002.0%1st Place
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7.44Dartmouth College2.389.0%1st Place
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13.76Fairfield University0.421.4%1st Place
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15.2Olin College of Engineering0.220.7%1st Place
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12.24University of Vermont0.872.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Borcherding | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Robby Meek | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 10.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 14.4% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| William Hurd | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 11.2% |
| William Michels | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 17.9% | 19.2% |
| James Jagielski | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 16.1% | 39.2% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.