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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+1.66vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.06+0.84vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.40+0.77vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.01+0.42vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara-0.36+0.08vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-1.01+0.38vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-1.10-0.40vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.03-1.57vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.3%1st Place
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2.84University of California at Los Angeles1.060.3%1st Place
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3.77University of California at Berkeley0.400.1%1st Place
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4.42University of California at San Diego0.010.1%1st Place
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5.08University of California at Santa Barbara-0.360.1%1st Place
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6.38Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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6.6University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
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6.43University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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6.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Coghlin | 28.9% | 24.2% | 19.9% | 13.6% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 26.0% | 24.4% | 19.9% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Olsen | 14.9% | 14.8% | 17.9% | 17.0% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Svenja Leonard | 9.4% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 17.1% | 17.4% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 7.1% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 18.4% | 19.3% | 18.7% |
| Tillie Morris | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 22.1% | 21.7% |
| McKenna Roonan | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 18.8% | 20.6% |
| Macy Rowe | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 20.0% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.