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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego0.01+3.47vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+0.80vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.06-0.27vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.40-0.28vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara-0.36+0.08vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-1.01+0.38vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.03-0.55vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-1.10-1.44vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47University of California at San Diego0.010.1%1st Place
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2.8University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.3%1st Place
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2.73University of California at Los Angeles1.060.3%1st Place
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3.72University of California at Berkeley0.400.1%1st Place
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5.08University of California at Santa Barbara-0.360.1%1st Place
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6.38Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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6.45University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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6.56University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
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6.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenja Leonard | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 1.6% |
| Molly Coghlin | 25.2% | 26.9% | 18.2% | 14.9% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 29.2% | 21.3% | 20.6% | 14.2% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Olsen | 14.9% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 17.8% | 15.5% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 7.1% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 7.0% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 19.9% | 18.9% |
| McKenna Roonan | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 21.3% | 18.3% |
| Tillie Morris | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 18.4% | 23.7% |
| Macy Rowe | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 19.7% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.