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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego0.01+3.48vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.06+0.84vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-0.34vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara-0.36+1.13vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26+1.67vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-1.01+0.39vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-1.10-0.38vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.03-1.55vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.40-5.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48University of California at San Diego0.010.1%1st Place
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2.84University of California at Los Angeles1.060.2%1st Place
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2.66University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.3%1st Place
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5.13University of California at Santa Barbara-0.360.1%1st Place
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6.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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6.39Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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6.62University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
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6.45University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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3.77University of California at Berkeley0.400.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenja Leonard | 10.2% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 1.8% |
| Marianna Shand | 24.6% | 26.0% | 19.4% | 13.4% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 30.6% | 22.2% | 20.0% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 6.1% |
| Macy Rowe | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 15.9% | 18.5% | 27.3% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 20.4% | 18.8% |
| Tillie Morris | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 18.4% | 20.6% | 23.2% |
| McKenna Roonan | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 18.9% | 21.8% |
| Katherine Olsen | 15.7% | 14.9% | 16.4% | 17.5% | 15.5% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.