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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.40+2.78vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+0.77vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.06-0.31vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.01+0.44vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-1.01+1.30vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-1.10+0.49vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara-0.36-1.78vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-1.15vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.03-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78University of California at Berkeley0.400.1%1st Place
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2.77University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.2%1st Place
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2.69University of California at Los Angeles1.060.3%1st Place
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4.44University of California at San Diego0.010.1%1st Place
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6.3Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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6.49University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
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5.22University of California at Santa Barbara-0.360.1%1st Place
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6.85Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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6.46University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Olsen | 15.0% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 18.1% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Molly Coghlin | 25.0% | 27.6% | 18.6% | 14.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 30.7% | 21.0% | 20.4% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 9.6% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.0% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 19.0% | 20.0% |
| Tillie Morris | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 17.3% | 20.9% | 20.6% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 6.6% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 5.4% |
| Macy Rowe | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 21.5% | 28.9% |
| McKenna Roonan | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 18.0% | 18.1% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.