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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles0.29+2.40vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+1.09vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-0.46+1.93vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.57+1.01vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.90+0.59vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-2.08vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.64-1.74vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara-1.18-1.75vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.96-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4University of California at Los Angeles0.290.2%1st Place
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3.09University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.2%1st Place
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4.93University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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5.01Western Washington University-0.570.1%1st Place
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5.59University of California at Berkeley-0.900.1%1st Place
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3.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.2%1st Place
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5.26University of California at San Diego-0.640.1%1st Place
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6.25University of California at Santa Barbara-1.180.1%1st Place
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7.54University of California at San Diego-1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Jane Howland | 21.3% | 18.3% | 17.4% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| harriet jessup | 24.1% | 22.7% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Emily Avey | 8.2% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 3.9% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 4.9% |
| Fiona Wu | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 12.9% |
| Florence Duff | 15.6% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Amanda Brooks | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 6.9% |
| Lekha Sapers | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 16.9% | 20.5% | 18.7% |
| Yasminna Sanchez | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 17.9% | 50.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.