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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+1.95vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.64+3.38vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.29+0.40vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.57+0.96vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.90+0.59vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara-1.18+0.25vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.96+0.59vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-3.97vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-0.46-4.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.3%1st Place
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5.38University of California at San Diego-0.640.1%1st Place
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3.4University of California at Los Angeles0.290.2%1st Place
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4.96Western Washington University-0.570.1%1st Place
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5.59University of California at Berkeley-0.900.1%1st Place
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6.25University of California at Santa Barbara-1.180.0%1st Place
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7.59University of California at San Diego-1.960.0%1st Place
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4.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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4.86University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| harriet jessup | 26.1% | 23.1% | 17.2% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Brooks | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 6.9% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 21.5% | 17.2% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 8.3% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 5.8% |
| Fiona Wu | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 17.4% | 11.2% |
| Lekha Sapers | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 22.0% | 16.8% |
| Yasminna Sanchez | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 18.3% | 51.7% |
| Florence Duff | 14.7% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Emily Avey | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.