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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+2.69vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.65+1.95vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.73+0.85vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.40-1.14vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-2.20vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.28-1.42vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.31-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.2%1st Place
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3.95North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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3.85George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
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2.86U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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2.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.3%1st Place
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4.58Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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6.28University of Virginia-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Bennett | 15.1% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 19.1% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 5.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 11.3% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 20.5% | 17.2% | 5.5% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 12.6% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 18.2% | 16.8% | 5.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 24.6% | 22.4% | 19.9% | 15.5% | 11.0% | 5.9% | 0.7% |
| Emily Bornarth | 27.2% | 22.4% | 18.9% | 15.0% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 1.3% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 19.6% | 28.1% | 11.6% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 12.1% | 70.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.