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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.73+2.78vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+1.75vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.28+1.55vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-1.19vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.31+1.41vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.65-1.99vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.40-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
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3.75St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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4.55Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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2.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.2%1st Place
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6.41University of Virginia-0.310.0%1st Place
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4.01North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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2.7U. S. Naval Academy2.400.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 14.4% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 19.0% | 19.5% | 14.7% | 4.7% |
| Katherine Bennett | 12.4% | 14.4% | 18.8% | 16.6% | 19.5% | 14.5% | 3.8% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 8.2% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 18.9% | 29.6% | 9.8% |
| Emily Bornarth | 24.6% | 24.8% | 18.9% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 5.6% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 1.2% | 1.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 11.5% | 74.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 11.3% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 17.0% | 17.9% | 19.3% | 6.4% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 27.9% | 24.3% | 18.6% | 14.9% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.