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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.93+1.71vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.70+1.11vs Predicted
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3Harvard University0.45+0.59vs Predicted
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4Bentley University-1.10+2.52vs Predicted
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5Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.36+0.49vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.93-0.15vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.80-1.08vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University-2.06-0.22vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.15-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71University of Rhode Island0.9328.3%1st Place
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3.11Northeastern University0.7021.9%1st Place
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3.59Harvard University0.4516.0%1st Place
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6.52Bentley University-1.103.1%1st Place
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5.49Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.366.3%1st Place
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5.85University of New Hampshire-0.935.2%1st Place
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5.92University of Connecticut-0.804.6%1st Place
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7.78Sacred Heart University-2.061.2%1st Place
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4.04Boston University0.1513.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leonardo Burnham | 28.3% | 24.6% | 20.2% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 21.9% | 20.2% | 19.6% | 17.2% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Theresa Straw | 16.0% | 18.1% | 17.8% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 19.1% | 23.1% | 18.2% |
| Owen Peterson | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 6.4% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 18.2% | 19.1% | 9.4% |
| Ryan Treat | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 18.6% | 11.1% |
| Will Sugerman | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 17.5% | 53.4% |
| Matteo Asscher | 13.2% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.