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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.86+8.87vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.45+5.13vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.29+4.36vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.38+3.69vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+2.71vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.78+2.15vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.22+0.37vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.42-2.71vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.09-0.54vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-2.48vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.38-2.55vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.02-3.77vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University0.42+0.91vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.87-1.85vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.00-2.25vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.07-3.41vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering0.22-1.91vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.14-6.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.87Brown University1.864.0%1st Place
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7.13Harvard University2.458.8%1st Place
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7.36Yale University2.297.6%1st Place
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7.69Dartmouth College2.387.2%1st Place
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7.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.327.2%1st Place
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8.15University of Rhode Island2.786.4%1st Place
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7.37Tufts University2.227.6%1st Place
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5.29Yale University2.4213.7%1st Place
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8.46Roger Williams University2.095.4%1st Place
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7.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.9%1st Place
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8.45Bowdoin College2.385.6%1st Place
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8.23Boston College2.026.2%1st Place
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13.91Fairfield University0.421.3%1st Place
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12.15University of Vermont0.872.6%1st Place
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12.75Connecticut College1.001.1%1st Place
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12.59Northeastern University1.072.6%1st Place
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15.09Olin College of Engineering0.220.8%1st Place
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11.29Boston University1.142.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Borcherding | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Robby Meek | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| William Michels | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 13.7% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Jack Redmond | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 12.4% | 19.1% | 21.9% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 7.7% |
| William Hurd | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 11.3% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.7% |
| James Jagielski | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 18.1% | 37.9% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.