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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University2.13+1.55vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.95+0.75vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.48-0.88vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University0.43+0.84vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-0.15+0.54vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology0.56-1.36vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College-0.24-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55Columbia University2.130.3%1st Place
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2.75Queen's University1.950.2%1st Place
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2.12Cornell University2.480.4%1st Place
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4.84Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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5.54U. S. Military Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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4.64Rochester Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
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5.55Hamilton College-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Coplon | 28.0% | 25.9% | 22.1% | 14.2% | 7.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Paul Throop | 21.2% | 24.0% | 27.3% | 16.7% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 37.2% | 30.4% | 20.2% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Harmen Rockler | 3.6% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 16.5% | 25.2% | 23.5% | 15.0% |
| Phillip Weigand | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 10.6% | 19.1% | 25.1% | 34.5% |
| Nathan Fulcher | 4.7% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 22.8% | 22.2% | 20.8% | 12.6% |
| Nathan Burbank | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 25.7% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.