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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.65+2.92vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.73+1.82vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-0.23vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.40-1.16vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-1.21vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.28-1.43vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.31-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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3.82George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
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2.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.3%1st Place
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2.84U. S. Naval Academy2.400.3%1st Place
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3.79St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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4.57Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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6.28University of Virginia-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 13.4% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 18.8% | 16.6% | 6.5% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 12.4% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 20.4% | 15.5% | 4.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 26.1% | 23.4% | 19.9% | 15.4% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 0.6% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 26.4% | 21.2% | 18.8% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 5.4% | 0.7% |
| Katherine Bennett | 12.2% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 5.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 18.7% | 28.7% | 11.3% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 11.9% | 71.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.