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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.65+2.88vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.40+0.81vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.73+0.88vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-0.21vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-2.19vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.28-1.45vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.31-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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2.81U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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3.88George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
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3.79St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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2.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.3%1st Place
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4.55Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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6.29University of Virginia-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 13.1% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 17.2% | 17.7% | 5.9% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 25.0% | 23.0% | 20.8% | 15.6% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 11.7% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 19.3% | 18.5% | 16.7% | 4.6% |
| Katherine Bennett | 13.6% | 14.3% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 19.7% | 15.2% | 4.8% |
| Emily Bornarth | 26.9% | 23.1% | 18.3% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 18.4% | 28.5% | 11.0% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 11.5% | 71.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.