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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.65+2.88vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+0.77vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+0.77vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-0.31+2.42vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.28-0.42vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.73-2.14vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.40-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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2.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.2%1st Place
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3.77St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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6.42University of Virginia-0.310.0%1st Place
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4.58Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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3.86George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
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2.72U. S. Naval Academy2.400.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 13.2% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 17.0% | 20.6% | 16.6% | 4.8% |
| Emily Bornarth | 24.7% | 25.3% | 20.8% | 14.7% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 1.2% |
| Katherine Bennett | 13.9% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 20.7% | 17.3% | 15.3% | 4.3% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 12.2% | 73.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 6.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 19.4% | 29.6% | 9.9% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 12.4% | 13.9% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 16.1% | 5.7% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 27.8% | 23.3% | 19.0% | 14.6% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.