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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.65+2.90vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.73+1.81vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+0.75vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.40-1.15vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.28-0.41vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-3.21vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.31-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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3.81George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
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3.75St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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2.85U. S. Naval Academy2.400.3%1st Place
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4.59Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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2.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.3%1st Place
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6.3University of Virginia-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 12.8% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 17.8% | 17.5% | 17.4% | 6.2% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 13.3% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 18.7% | 16.5% | 4.4% |
| Katherine Bennett | 13.7% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 17.5% | 18.4% | 14.6% | 4.9% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 25.6% | 21.9% | 20.0% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 5.8% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 6.3% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 18.6% | 27.6% | 11.7% |
| Emily Bornarth | 26.6% | 24.0% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 0.9% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 11.8% | 71.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.