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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.40+1.78vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+0.72vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.65+1.00vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.73-0.12vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-1.21vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.28-1.47vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.31-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78U. S. Naval Academy2.400.3%1st Place
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2.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.3%1st Place
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4.0North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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3.88George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
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3.79St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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4.53Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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6.29University of Virginia-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 27.7% | 23.1% | 18.8% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 1.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 26.5% | 25.7% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Sowa | 10.5% | 12.1% | 16.4% | 18.5% | 18.9% | 18.0% | 5.6% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 12.8% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 19.8% | 16.5% | 5.2% |
| Katherine Bennett | 12.4% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 16.0% | 4.9% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 8.5% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 19.7% | 26.6% | 11.4% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 11.9% | 70.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.