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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.73+2.83vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.28+2.49vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-0.25vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.40-1.11vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.65-0.97vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-2.28vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.31-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
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4.49Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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2.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.3%1st Place
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2.89U. S. Naval Academy2.400.3%1st Place
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4.03North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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3.72St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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6.29University of Virginia-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 14.0% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 17.7% | 18.7% | 16.0% | 5.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 8.2% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 19.4% | 26.2% | 10.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 25.6% | 25.8% | 18.4% | 15.0% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 0.8% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 26.0% | 20.5% | 19.2% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 5.9% | 1.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 10.6% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 18.5% | 18.2% | 7.5% |
| Katherine Bennett | 13.4% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 16.3% | 3.9% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 12.2% | 71.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.