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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.73+2.83vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.65+1.95vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.40-0.17vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.28+0.60vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-2.21vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-2.29vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.31-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
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3.95North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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2.83U. S. Naval Academy2.400.3%1st Place
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4.6Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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2.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.3%1st Place
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3.71St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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6.29University of Virginia-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 14.0% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 18.2% | 16.5% | 5.5% |
| Olivia Sowa | 11.1% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 19.1% | 18.2% | 5.5% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 26.0% | 20.8% | 20.8% | 16.0% | 10.6% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 18.5% | 28.7% | 11.9% |
| Emily Bornarth | 26.6% | 23.2% | 18.5% | 15.1% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 13.8% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 18.2% | 18.0% | 15.2% | 3.7% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 11.5% | 71.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.