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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.73+2.79vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+0.74vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.28+1.56vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.65+0.03vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-1.25vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.40-3.17vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.31-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
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2.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.3%1st Place
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4.56Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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4.03North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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3.75St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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2.83U. S. Naval Academy2.400.3%1st Place
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6.29University of Virginia-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 13.5% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 19.3% | 15.3% | 4.9% |
| Emily Bornarth | 26.1% | 24.9% | 19.5% | 14.6% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 8.6% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 19.3% | 27.3% | 11.6% |
| Olivia Sowa | 10.9% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 17.3% | 20.0% | 19.0% | 5.9% |
| Katherine Bennett | 13.3% | 15.1% | 17.2% | 17.9% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 5.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 25.8% | 21.9% | 20.4% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 5.7% | 0.9% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 70.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.