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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.40+1.29vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+0.22vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-0.15vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.73-1.03vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.31-0.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29U. S. Naval Academy2.400.3%1st Place
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2.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.3%1st Place
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2.85St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.2%1st Place
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2.97George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
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4.67University of Virginia-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 32.5% | 27.2% | 21.8% | 15.5% | 3.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 33.9% | 27.2% | 23.5% | 13.8% | 1.6% |
| Katherine Bennett | 17.9% | 20.2% | 26.2% | 30.2% | 5.5% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 14.2% | 22.2% | 24.0% | 32.0% | 7.6% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 82.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.