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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.29+6.52vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.09+6.52vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.86+6.98vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.02+4.03vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.78+3.32vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.22+1.41vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+0.79vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.38-0.44vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.38-0.62vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.45-3.07vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.07+1.45vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-4.29vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.42-7.76vs Predicted
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14Olin College of Engineering0.22+0.81vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University0.42-1.11vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.00-3.31vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.87-4.72vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.14-6.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.52Yale University2.298.1%1st Place
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8.52Roger Williams University2.096.0%1st Place
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9.98Brown University1.863.4%1st Place
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8.03Boston College2.026.9%1st Place
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8.32University of Rhode Island2.785.9%1st Place
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7.41Tufts University2.228.1%1st Place
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7.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.326.2%1st Place
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7.56Dartmouth College2.387.4%1st Place
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8.38Bowdoin College2.385.2%1st Place
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6.93Harvard University2.458.1%1st Place
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12.45Northeastern University1.072.5%1st Place
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7.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.4%1st Place
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5.24Yale University2.4214.6%1st Place
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14.81Olin College of Engineering0.221.4%1st Place
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13.89Fairfield University0.421.3%1st Place
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12.69Connecticut College1.002.5%1st Place
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12.28University of Vermont0.871.9%1st Place
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11.47Boston University1.142.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Pinckney | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Jack Redmond | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Ben Mueller | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| William Michels | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Robby Meek | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 9.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Carmen Cowles | 14.6% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| James Jagielski | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 16.9% | 36.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 17.3% | 20.9% |
| William Hurd | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 10.3% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 9.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.