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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Columbia University2.13+0.55vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.48-0.89vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.95-1.23vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University0.43-0.15vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-0.15-0.45vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology0.56-3.37vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College-0.24-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55Columbia University2.130.3%1st Place
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2.11Cornell University2.480.4%1st Place
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2.77Queen's University1.950.2%1st Place
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4.85Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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5.55U. S. Military Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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4.63Rochester Institute of Technology0.560.1%1st Place
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5.55Hamilton College-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Coplon | 27.2% | 27.2% | 21.9% | 14.5% | 6.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 38.6% | 29.6% | 19.4% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Paul Throop | 21.3% | 23.3% | 28.6% | 15.7% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Harmen Rockler | 3.2% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 17.6% | 25.1% | 23.0% | 15.1% |
| Phillip Weigand | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 10.2% | 19.8% | 24.7% | 34.6% |
| Nathan Fulcher | 5.1% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 23.3% | 22.2% | 20.6% | 12.5% |
| Nathan Burbank | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 25.8% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.