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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+1.92vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+0.22vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.40-0.74vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.73-1.07vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.31-0.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.2%1st Place
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2.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.3%1st Place
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2.26U. S. Naval Academy2.400.3%1st Place
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2.93George Washington University1.730.2%1st Place
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4.67University of Virginia-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Bennett | 17.4% | 18.9% | 26.3% | 28.9% | 8.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 33.0% | 28.4% | 23.9% | 12.9% | 1.8% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 32.6% | 27.8% | 22.0% | 15.9% | 1.7% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 15.6% | 22.0% | 23.3% | 32.4% | 6.7% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 9.9% | 81.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.