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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.32+3.97vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.52+2.78vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.13+2.45vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.83-0.20vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.14+0.24vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.18-0.74vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-2.70vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.61-1.52vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.44-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.97Connecticut College1.320.1%1st Place
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4.78Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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5.45Tufts University1.130.1%1st Place
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3.8Brown University1.830.2%1st Place
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5.24Bowdoin College1.140.1%1st Place
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5.26University of Rhode Island1.180.1%1st Place
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4.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.1%1st Place
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6.48Salve Regina University0.610.1%1st Place
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4.72Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 10.3% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 13.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 17.2% | 19.7% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 14.1% |
| Meghan Haviland | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 10.3% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 14.5% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 17.4% | 30.7% |
| Tiare Sierra | 12.3% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.