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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+3.32vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.52+2.76vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.14+2.42vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.83-0.23vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.18+0.14vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.32-1.06vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.13-1.55vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.61-1.51vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.44-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.2%1st Place
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4.76Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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5.42Bowdoin College1.140.1%1st Place
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3.77Brown University1.830.2%1st Place
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5.14University of Rhode Island1.180.1%1st Place
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4.94Connecticut College1.320.1%1st Place
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5.45Tufts University1.130.1%1st Place
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6.49Salve Regina University0.610.1%1st Place
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4.71Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 15.4% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 10.5% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 13.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 17.8% | 19.4% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Meghan Haviland | 9.5% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 12.7% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 11.0% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 12.7% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 15.5% | 32.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 12.0% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.