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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.44+3.76vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.18+3.50vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.52+1.60vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.14+1.31vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.32-0.15vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.83-2.16vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-2.72vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.61-1.53vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.13-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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5.5University of Rhode Island1.180.1%1st Place
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4.6Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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5.31Bowdoin College1.140.1%1st Place
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4.85Connecticut College1.320.1%1st Place
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3.84Brown University1.830.2%1st Place
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4.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.1%1st Place
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6.47Salve Regina University0.610.1%1st Place
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5.39Tufts University1.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiare Sierra | 11.3% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.3% |
| Meghan Haviland | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 13.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 12.6% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.2% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 12.5% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 12.7% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 10.8% |
| Emily Mueller | 18.7% | 15.8% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 14.4% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 30.5% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.