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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.44+3.72vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.13+3.60vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.32+2.05vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.18+1.22vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.52-0.58vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.83-2.18vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.14-1.59vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.61-1.53vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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5.6Tufts University1.130.1%1st Place
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5.05Connecticut College1.320.1%1st Place
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5.22University of Rhode Island1.180.1%1st Place
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4.42Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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3.82Brown University1.830.2%1st Place
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5.41Bowdoin College1.140.1%1st Place
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6.47Salve Regina University0.610.1%1st Place
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4.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiare Sierra | 12.2% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 14.3% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 9.1% |
| Meghan Haviland | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 11.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 14.4% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% |
| Emily Mueller | 19.3% | 14.7% | 17.3% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 12.3% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 31.4% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 14.8% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.