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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.52+3.57vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.44+2.88vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.83+0.92vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.14+1.30vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.32-0.15vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.13-0.62vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-2.72vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.18-2.69vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.61-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.57Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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4.88Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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3.92Brown University1.830.2%1st Place
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5.3Bowdoin College1.140.1%1st Place
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4.85Connecticut College1.320.1%1st Place
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5.38Tufts University1.130.1%1st Place
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4.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.1%1st Place
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5.31University of Rhode Island1.180.1%1st Place
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6.51Salve Regina University0.610.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Loosbrock | 13.3% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 6.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 9.6% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 7.6% |
| Emily Mueller | 17.8% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 2.0% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 13.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 11.4% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.1% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 12.8% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 14.3% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 3.2% |
| Meghan Haviland | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 13.7% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.