Race 1A

saisa-north-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Gregory Walters 23.6% 22.8% 16.0% 14.5% 11.9% 6.5% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Roberto Martelli 10.7% 10.7% 16.3% 15.7% 15.6% 13.5% 9.6% 5.9% 2.0% 0.0%
Sara Boyd 4.9% 5.6% 7.9% 8.3% 11.1% 14.7% 20.1% 17.7% 7.7% 2.0%
James Thurlow 28.4% 25.3% 17.8% 13.7% 7.5% 4.8% 2.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Nilah Miller 17.2% 16.2% 17.4% 17.2% 14.6% 9.2% 5.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
Nicholas DeConto 3.4% 2.7% 3.7% 5.0% 7.6% 8.5% 14.9% 21.7% 23.1% 9.4%
Jack Dalton 5.2% 7.3% 10.6% 11.6% 14.4% 19.0% 14.9% 10.9% 4.7% 1.4%
Blake Daniel 4.4% 7.3% 7.7% 9.2% 11.8% 15.7% 16.2% 15.8% 9.3% 2.6%
Katie Kellam 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 1.9% 1.8% 2.4% 5.0% 8.6% 21.6% 56.0%
Nevin Williams 1.3% 1.2% 1.7% 2.9% 3.7% 5.7% 8.6% 15.9% 30.6% 28.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.